2. Temporal Analysis Framework
LSTM Implementation Architecture
The Temporal Analysis Framework implements a sophisticated deep learning architecture utilizing Long Short-Term Memory networks for time series prediction. The system employs a multi-layer approach with attention mechanisms for enhanced feature extraction.
Neural Network Configuration
LSTM_CONFIG = {
'hidden_layers': 3,
'hidden_size': 128,
'dropout': 0.2,
'sequence_length': 24, # hours
'feature_count': 15,
'batch_size': 32,
'learning_rate': 0.001
}
Volatility Prediction Mechanisms
The volatility calculator implements advanced statistical methods for market volatility estimation. The system utilizes a hybrid approach combining both parametric and non-parametric methods:
class VolatilityPredictor:
def __init__(
self,
sequence_length: int = 100,
prediction_window: int = 24,
confidence_threshold: float = 0.7
):
self.model = LSTMModel(
input_size=15,
hidden_size=64,
num_layers=2,
output_size=1
)
self.pattern_windows = defaultdict(
lambda: deque(maxlen=1000)
)
Feature Engineering Pipeline
The system implements sophisticated feature extraction mechanisms:
async def _calculate_market_impact(
self,
pattern: AccumulationPattern,
market_cap: float
) -> Dict:
"""Calculate market impact metrics.
Args:
pattern: Detected accumulation pattern
market_cap: Current market capitalization
Returns:
Dict containing impact metrics
"""
return {
"price_impact": pattern.price_impact,
"market_share": pattern.market_share,
"supply_share": pattern.current_price / total_supply,
"cap_impact": (pattern.total_volume / market_cap),
"manipulation_risk": self._calculate_manipulation_risk(
pattern,
market_cap
)
}
Flash Crash Detection Algorithms
The flash crash detector employs real-time monitoring with multi-faceted analysis:
Detection Parameters
FLASH_CRASH_THRESHOLDS = {
'price_drop': 0.15, # 15% drop
'time_window': 300, # 5 minutes
'volume_spike': 2.5, # 2.5x average volume
'liquidity_impact': 0.3
}
Performance Metrics
The system maintains strict performance characteristics:
Processing Latency:
Real-time Analysis: <50ms
Pattern Recognition: <100ms
Alert Generation: <10ms
Resource Utilization:
GPU Memory: 4GB recommended
CUDA Cores: 2000+ for optimal performance
Batch Processing: 64 samples/batch
Model Performance:
RMSE: <0.08 for 1-hour predictions
MAE: <0.05 for volume predictions
R² Score: >0.85 for price predictions
Monitoring Integration
The framework exposes comprehensive metrics through Prometheus endpoints:
Monitoring Metrics:
- prediction_accuracy_rolling_window
- model_inference_time_seconds
- prediction_confidence_distribution
- gpu_memory_utilization
- batch_processing_duration
Alert Configurations:
- AccuracyDegradation: <0.8 accuracy
- HighLatency: >100ms inference time
- ResourceSaturation: >90% GPU utilization
- PredictionDivergence: >20% error rate
Training Pipeline
The system implements automated model retraining with the following characteristics:
TRAINING_CONFIG = {
'epochs': 100,
'batch_size': 32,
'validation_split': 0.2,
'early_stopping_patience': 10,
'learning_rate_scheduler': {
'factor': 0.5,
'patience': 5,
'min_lr': 1e-6
}
}
Model Versioning
Version Control:
Strategy: Time-based versioning
Retention: Rolling 5 versions
Fallback: Automatic to last stable
Validation: Cross-epoch performance
Deployment:
Method: Blue-Green deployment
Warmup: 1000 inference cycles
Rollback: Automatic on accuracy drop
Monitoring: Continuous accuracy tracking
The framework maintains comprehensive model versioning and deployment strategies, ensuring continuous service availability during updates and maintaining strict performance characteristics throughout the model lifecycle.
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